It seems to me this game is highly number based. Usually in these sorts of games making huge adjustments to gameplans can increase your chances of having a terrible game again. I just got killed by the jets week 1 and honestly....I watched the game and I just don't have enough information to know why. Does this game have high rng that punishes changing things based on small numbers or is it a more reliable indicator of future results?

It's tough to tell, because of the fluctuation of ability of your Opponents.

For instance, in a 'regular league' you'll have all sorts. And old time vet that knows the numbers and game plans for everyone, some new kid trying crazy stuff for fun, a guy that understands game planning and squeezes the most out of his guy but just isn't very good at knowing what makes a Good Player, a guy that can pick a HOF out of every Draft but doesn't even know there is a Game Plan Page or who he's even playing.

So the results you have against the Jets might not mean squat against the next team. How comparable are you to the Jets? How comparable are they to the next team you face? What's the differential?

This is what I've done, and I tend to come in Year 1 on a **** Team... and do crappy. Improve greatly year 2 (Play Offs or just miss) and then solidify my Team from there on. I've done this twice, with two different approaches, and I'm taking a 3rd Team now to work yet another approach.

What I've done is make changes based on every 4 Games of Data. I never let ONE game do anything to how I make decisions. Because if you do you'll never stop adjusting, and you'll 'adjust out' of good things because you hit a bad match up.

I can take getting crushed by Pittsburgh in MFN-73 to heart... that team has more Talent because my Allocation Draft was focused heavily on Young Talent to grow. My 'power spike' is 2 Seasons from now, when most of the guys fill in their Blue Bars to Red. But I CAN take 4 Games of Information and compare it to the Previous 4 and see what I need to be adjusting.

If you let every game chance your approach, you'll never get close to what you need. If you sit back, get multiple data points and assess your team properly, you can fix most things in a Single Draft, or with Better OFF/DEF Play Book, or better Opponent Game Planning/Rules.

Don't go trip wire on one game, especially if you have a Young Team with a lot of Blue on the Bars.