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Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/08/2016 8:02 am
I set the volatility setting to 100 in my draft settings and I see that the players at the top of my board all have high volatilities close to 100.

Why then do I keep drafting players with low volatility? My manual board is not set up.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By jdavidbakr - Site Admin
9/08/2016 8:17 am
What this setting does is indicate the impact you want volatility to have on your auto-draft selections. If set to 0, volatility is not considered. If set to 100, volatility is weighed very heavily. When volatility is weighed heavily, in the early rounds you will avoid players with high volatility, and it the later rounds you will prioritize players with high volatility.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/08/2016 8:29 am
jdavidbakr wrote:
What this setting does is indicate the impact you want volatility to have on your auto-draft selections. If set to 0, volatility is not considered. If set to 100, volatility is weighed very heavily. When volatility is weighed heavily, in the early rounds you will avoid players with high volatility, and it the later rounds you will prioritize players with high volatility.


I know that. It's currently an allocation draft in the later rounds and I know for a fact my auto board has high volatility players at the top due to the volatility setting that is a 100. The problem is despite the fact that I only see high volatility players at the top of the auto board, I keep drafting players with less than 10 volatility. Unless somehow all the higher rated high volatility players are drafted by the time my pick comes, I suspect there is a disconnect between what's showing up on the auto board and the player who is actually drafted.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By jdavidbakr - Site Admin
9/08/2016 8:48 am
When we had the first draft in MFN-1 I was surprised how quickly the high volatility players got taken. Unless you're seeing lots of high volatility players in the pool still, it may just be a matter of all the high volatility players being taken.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By WarEagle
9/08/2016 9:56 am
I'm still seeing a lot of high volatility players available.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/08/2016 10:29 am
jdavidbakr wrote:
When we had the first draft in MFN-1 I was surprised how quickly the high volatility players got taken. Unless you're seeing lots of high volatility players in the pool still, it may just be a matter of all the high volatility players being taken.


Nope, I just checked. Scrolling down the auto loaded board I see high volatility players everywhere. Not a single player is listed in the auto board with volatility less than ten but they keep ending up on my team.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/08/2016 2:29 pm
To continue, I just drafted a 21/54 LG with 2 volatility in the 41st round and 52/52 LDE with 6 volatility in the 40th round.

Luckily I happened to be on for my next pick (42nd round) so I observed what is going on. I drafted a 55/56 SLB with 14 volatility. Currently near the top of my auto board are players including 39/59 WLB with 94 volatility, 40/60 WLB with 90 volatility, and 19/58 SLB with 94 volatility.

This is a concrete example that something is different between the auto generated board, and the player who gets picked. Not only are there players with higher potential ratings on the board at the same position (outside linebacker, meaning they are weighted the same in terms of draft order), the higher rated players also have significantly higher volatilities.

The system is definitely taking volatility into account when generating the auto board. But the players at the top of the auto board aren't getting drafted...

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By WarEagle
9/08/2016 2:38 pm
Just another reason to never let the AI do anything for you. I know it's not always avoidable, but this is what I've come to expect.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/08/2016 3:54 pm
This is particularly annoying because it's clear that the AI is on the right track towards the right decision yet somehow something messes up.

Re: Volatility in Auto Draft Board

By Chipped
9/13/2016 12:05 am
Was this issue resolved or investigated? Anecdotal evidence suggests it is a very real issue and I'd hate to have future drafts screwed up the same way.